Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 3 prediction: Odds, expert picks, pitching matchup, betting trends, and stats


Phillies vs. Mets NLDS Game 3 prediction: Odds, expert picks, pitching matchup, betting trends, and stats

Six lead changes. Blown saves by both teams' closers. Five home runs in the final four innings. Game 2 of the NLDS between the Phillies and the Mets was an October classic. The series is now tied following a wild come from behind, blown lead, come from behind 7-6 win by Philadelphia.

Nick Castellanos homered in the 6 and drove in Trea Turner with the winning run in the bottom of the 9 to help the Phillies even the series.

Jeff Hoffman got the final out and the win after Matt Strahm blew the save earlier in the 9.Edwin Diaz coughed up the Mets' lead in the 8 before Tylor Megill served up the Castellanos hit in the 9 to lose the game.

The scene now shifts to Citi Field in New York for Games 3 and 4.

Aaron Nola takes the mound for the Phillies while Sean Manaea will start the game for the Mets.

Lets dive into the matchup.

We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first-pitch, projected pitching matchup, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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● Date: Tuesday, October 8, 2024

● Time: 5:08 PM ET

● Site: Citi Field

● City: Flushing, NY

● TV/Streaming: FS1

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

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● Tuesday's pitching matchup (October 8): Aaron Nola vs. Sean Manaea

○ Mets: Manaea allowed 2 earned runs, struck out 4, and gave up 6 hits in 5 innings against Milwaukee in the Wild Card round.

○ Phillies: Nola has yet to appear in the 2024 postseason. Finished the regular season with a record of 14-8 and a 3.57 ERA. Over the last two seasons, Nola has made 9 starts in the playoffs. He is 5-3 with a 3.70 ERA allowing 20 runs over 48.2 innings.

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's Philadelphia @ New York Game 3:

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and total picks for each of the games on today's calendar!

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