Hurricane Gabrielle forms, with two disturbances behind it

By Bill Kearney

Hurricane Gabrielle forms, with two disturbances behind it

Hurricane Gabrielle has formed in the Atlantic, several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. It is expected to turn north and eventually back east and head into the North Atlantic.

Gabrielle is only the second Atlantic hurricane of 2025. The other hurricane this season was Hurricane Erin, which formed in August in the Atlantic. It reached Category 5 strength, but stayed out to sea and did not make landfall.

"It's very unusual for a second hurricane to show up this late. In fact, it hasn't happened since 1994," Fox Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross wrote on his blog, Hurricane Intel.

As of 5 p.m. Sunday, Gabrielle was 320 miles southeast of Bermuda, had maximum sustained winds of 75 mph and was moving north-northwest at 10 mph.

It is forecast to track east of Bermuda on Monday, possibly as a Category 2 hurricane, and curve northeast away from land, at which point it forecasters think it will reach Category 3 strength.

Norcross pointed out that some models take the storm closer to the island as a hurricane.

Swells are forecast to affect Bermuda, as well as the U.S. East Coast from North Carolina northward, according to the latest from the Hurricane Center.

Meanwhile, a tropical wave headed toward the central Atlantic has a 50% chance of developing over the next week, potentially becoming a tropical depression.

And another tropical wave, this one closer to the Caribbean, is moving west at about 20 mph. It has a 10% chance of development in the next two days and 20% chance in the next week. Forecasters expect it to turn to the northwest as it travels north of the Dominican Republic and Haiti.

In addition to Gabrielle, two more systems are traveling west across the Atlantic. (Courtesy NHC)So far in 2025, there have been seven named storms.

AccuWeather is now predicting 13 to 16 named storms and six to nine hurricanes, according to an update. Its previous forecast, issued in March, predicted 13 to 18 named storms and seven to 10 hurricanes.

Here's why the peak of hurricane season has been so mellow, and why that may change

The estimated range of storms with direct impacts to the U.S. remains the same, however, at three to six.

AccuWeather is still forecasting three to five major hurricanes this season, which means Category 3 or above.

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